Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 82708.385279 87313.164799 91917.587160 96863.848782 102023.663732 107244.203531 112922.111951
2025-03-02 74757.199440 81781.441261 89003.717014 96974.428019 105514.089123 114378.471496 124265.146403
2025-03-09 69975.849707 78718.534941 87905.080152 98256.621557 109574.775494 121552.346043 135164.389345
2025-03-16 65260.103162 75183.556896 85804.851989 97984.281303 111528.617425 126092.705898 142901.042056
2025-03-23 62527.386435 73525.184923 85483.540496 99401.365475 115101.565693 132210.848859 152210.941151
2025-03-30 59912.630018 71774.798302 84858.729879 100291.530196 117924.528629 137369.578694 160358.698523
2025-04-06 57192.639710 69721.678675 83726.757106 100452.197726 119788.524200 141345.341428 167095.498496
2025-04-13 54647.892810 67723.321924 82523.430117 100404.195085 121303.546803 144838.412745 173219.486887
2025-04-20 53223.198081 66945.279466 82653.760527 101830.095133 124463.562615 150179.935419 181453.131613
2025-04-27 51904.673526 66213.989211 82770.708235 103181.159453 127492.624319 155346.830878 189485.199131
2025-05-04 50334.036728 65101.548916 82367.352696 103854.848229 129676.402606 159499.036615 196324.419476
2025-05-11 48529.943419 63627.938736 81462.065979 103864.163874 131017.936364 162624.692315 201936.974306
2025-05-18 47057.993812 62528.090053 80986.229864 104383.375295 132981.767599 166522.126801 208531.943177
2025-05-25 45483.314998 61244.264054 80237.716378 104529.970969 134468.044048 169840.102654 214447.544601
2025-06-01 44614.688292 60809.475468 80503.972667 105898.664822 137429.636580 174932.979917 222519.341424
2025-06-08 43005.149394 59374.273466 79472.618538 105610.587089 138318.753172 177493.867082 227519.817067
2025-06-15 42333.559964 59113.845076 79891.654714 107116.577857 141417.997721 182750.986701 235825.860857
2025-06-22 41447.210746 58539.922217 79884.508264 108062.350881 143806.278064 187137.317410 243084.099303
2025-06-29 40262.920058 57535.333600 79291.708827 108233.046986 145199.309586 190285.639224 248822.049969
2025-07-06 39042.994537 56444.009367 78551.319263 108182.054869 146286.690213 193040.066564 254071.098393
2025-07-13 38554.460599 56308.823026 79035.197275 109696.718394 149360.446975 198279.741566 262438.637000
2025-07-20 38058.336543 56143.624595 79464.775674 111131.665017 152332.309517 203403.836482 270691.086234
2025-07-27 37291.375645 55585.345187 79355.787532 111847.100768 154370.816529 207355.065480 277487.832630